Unseen World!

Do you want to know whether you’ll likely be dead next year? Well you can calculate your death risk over the next year online using the death calculator.

Death risk rankings, a new website from Carnegie Mellon, allows you to calculate your death risk rankings over the next year. The website tells you where you rank in terms of dying for up to 66 causes of death. Death risk rankings was developed to provide valuable health information that compares disease rates, risk of death based on ethnicity, and location.

Death risk rankings is also designed to help regulatory policy makers track human health trends. The site was developed through a coordinated effort between the Carnegie Mellon team and the Center for the Study and Improvement of Regulation.

Death risk ranking calculates risk of dying in MicroMorts. You can find predictions about the causes of dying in your locale, in any age group, ethnicity, and by cause. A MicroMort is a one in million chance of death.

Death risk rankings can also be converted to number of deaths, percentage, number of people in each category.

Predictions delivered by death risk rankings is a new and innovative technology, designed by Carnegie Mellon researchers to help regulatory agencies track leading causes of death across the globe. In addition to death risk rankings, Carnegie Mellon is working to multiple interactive tools “in areas traffic safety, mortality risk, vehicle technology, and hospital admissions.”

Below is some excerpt from their site:

The forecasts for beyond one year are calculated using a “survival” function. For example, the forecast for a 40-year old male in the US to live another five years is 14,554 MicroMorts (i.e, about a 1.5% chance of dying within the forecast period). The calculation uses MicroMorts for each of the successive five years,. The number of MicroMorts for a 40-year old is 2,497, meaning that for each 1,000,000 40-year olds, on average 1,000,000 – 2,497 = 999,997,503 survive. The number of MicroMorts for the second year is 2,706, so the number of people expected to survive for two years is 999,997, 503 x (1,000,000 – 2,706) / 1,000,000. Using the MicroMorts from the table, we can see that the five-year forecast is calculated as

(1,000,000 – 2,497)
x ((1,000,000 – 2,706)/1,000,000)
x ((1,000,000 – 2,920)/1,000,000)
x ((1,000,000 – 3,143)/1,000,000)
((1,000,000 – 3,371)/1,000,000) = 14,552

Age            MicroMorts

40              2,497

41              2,706

42              2,920

43              3,143

Calculate your Death – Here